"Dream big" - Ukraine of dreams after victory: sustainability, modernization and leadership

Анотація

The article updates the macro-forecasts of Ukraine's economic development prospects for 2023-2027.The methodological matrix of the author's research on the scenario planning of the business space of post-war Ukraine in the context of two vectors of development: external (with the EU) and internal (for the EU) is determined.A well-founded structure of modeling the business space of post-war Ukraine with the selection of components: political, legal, economic, technological, ecological and cultural.Methodological and methodical aspects of the author's research matrix are based on the combination of three components of the future design process: assessment of uncertainty factors of the country's business environment, outline of the landscape of forecasted scenarios and determination of a specific toolkit of management decisions to achieve the set goals.According to the results of the foresight forecasting, the need is substantiated and the landscape of a unified state strategy for the reconstruction of Ukraine is outlined in the context of scenarios: its European integration and post-European integration adaptation.According to the scenario modeling, the ambitious goals are determined: capable institutions, fair justice, effective entrepreneurship, innovative technologies and an inclusive society.A substantiated and specified toolkit of management decisions to achieve the set goals: synchronization of legislation to EU Directives; legislative and personnel support of the state and corporate sector; independent anticorruption system; an open and transparent system of monitoring the use of funds for the post-war reconstruction of the country; international transfer of capital and technologies; effective digital state; public advocacy and monitoring of changes, eco-orientation of future generations.

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