STRENGTHENING OF MIGRATION PROCESSES IN UKRAINE: GENERAL ASPECTS AND DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS

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ПОСИЛЕННЯ МІГРАЦІЙНИХ ПРОЦЕСІВ В УКРАЇНІ: ЗАГАЛЬНІ АСПЕКТИ ТА СЦЕНАРІЇ РОЗВИТКУCurrently, Ukraine finds itself in a zone of military conflict, which presents it, like any sovereign entity that once experienced a similar situation, with specific challenges.A military conflict or its escalation inevitably gives rise to a series of circumstances that lead to life threats and the safety of citizens, especially those residing in active combat zones.It includes infrastructure destruction, the dismantling of enterprises, and worsening economic conditions, alongside the destruction of medical facilities and other social infrastructure.In most cases, these challenges lead to a significant intensification of external migration processes, which vary in scale and, in several instances, impact the overall aspects of the country's life and its citizens.The article aims to study the intricacies of migration processes in Ukraine, specifically their inherent aspects and developmental scenarios.The research results indicate the possibility of the development of several scenarios of migration processes in Ukraine.Some of these scenarios may lead to a long-term migration crisis, resulting in negative consequences.,These consequences can complicate or prolong the post-war recovery processes.Among such scenarios are a mass panicked influx of refugees to neighboring countries; widespread resettlement of them to other regions; the formation of migration processes that will have a long-term and irreversible nature.Each of these scenarios can emerge individually or form a subsequent (more complex) version of the preceding scenario.The research confirms that the massive, panicked influx of refugees to neighboring countries and their widespread resettlement to other regions can have a temporary nature.However, the formation of migration processes with a long-term and irreversible nature can lead to a range of negative consequences, such as loss of workforce, demographic crisis, reduction in remittances, disruption of family ties, and deterioration of the demographic structure.Considering the obtained results, conducting research into internal factors intensifying migration processes in Ukraine is possible, such as economic circumstances, political changes, conflicts, and other social and cultural factors.

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