SYSTEM-SITUATIONAL MODELINGOBJECTIVES OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

Анотація

The article considers the concept of sustainable development and its components: economic, social and environmental in terms of a systematic approach. Sustainable development is a system-driven development and its manageability is based on a systematic approach and modern information technology. It is proposed to apply the "Cybernetic concept of management of marginal resources and states of the object of development (CURSOR +)" to model the state of sustainable development. The integrated model of the concept of sustainable development and system-situational model of development allowed to describe the components of the system-situational model of development, determine the current, target and forecast states of sustainable development and explore the stages of achieving one of the goals of sustainable development. It is presented in the form of six tasks:: to ensure sustainable GDP growth through modernization of production, development of innovations, increase of export potential, introduction to foreign markets of products with a high share of added value; increasing the efficiency of production on the basis of sustainable development and the development of high-tech competitive production; increasing the level of employment; reducing the share of young people who do not work, study or acquire professional skills; ensuring reliable and safe working conditions for all workers, in particular through the use of innovative technologies in the field of labor protection and industrial safety; creation of institutional and financial opportunities for self-realization of the potential of the economically active part of the population and development of the creative economy. The method of exponential smoothing was used to predict the quantitative indicators of the goal of sustainable development "Decent Work and Economic Growth". This method uses weighted flow averaging of all past observational data. The purpose of this approach is to assess the current situation, the results of which determine all subsequent forecasts. The social component of sustainable development, focused on people and aimed at maintaining the stability of social and cultural systems.

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