Modelling multifractal properties of cryptocurrency market

Анотація

The paper focuses on the study of the effect of long memory and the analysis of the multifractal properties of the time series of the most capitalized cryptocurrencies for the period from 2010 to 2018. To do this, the Hurst exponent is calculated by both R/S analysis and the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis being more stable in the case of non-stationary time series. Our results show that time series of cryptocurrencies to be persistent during almost the whole study period that do not allow accepting the hypothesis concerning the efficiency of the cryptocurrency market. We also found that (i) time series became anti-persistent during the periods of market crisis phenomena and turbulence; (ii) the Hurst exponents showed significant fluctuations about the value of 0.5. In addition, we conduct a multifractal analysis of cryptocurrency time series that allows us to assess the state and stability of the market.The calculated spectrum of multifractality shows that the cryptocurrency market comes out of a crisis state, since the width of the multifractality spectrum has the maximum value for all cryptocurrencies.

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