PERSPECTIVES OF THE EXPORT POTENTIAL GROWTH OF UKRAINE

Анотація

Trade position of the country influences its competitiveness on the global markets.It is obvious that war in Ukraine has influenced the export potential and caused decrease of export.Disruption of chains, losing the possibility to export goods via established roots, problems in logistics influenced the trade potential of the country.At the same time the relocation of companies and change of their product orientation can give the possibilities for future development.The aim of this article is to analyze the export and import changes in Ukraine in the war period, discover the connection between the exchange rate and trade indicators of the country and make the propositions about possible ways of development of industry to stimulate economic growth and increase the competitiveness of economy.It is reviewed the structure of Ukrainian export and import in the years 2021 and 2022.In the article is proposed the system dynamics model, which shows the relation of exchange rate and trade indicators of the country.In the conditions of transition from fixed to floating exchange rate it is important to pay attention to the influence of exchange rate policy on the export and import of the country.Special attention is devoted to the possibilities of development of industrial branches of economy, as far as, reprocessing industries are important for further development and rebuild of the country.The resource orientation of export only causes the "Dutch curse" for the economy.It is made the conclusion that for security of the country, its rebuild and raising its competitiveness on the world market in future, possible joining the European Union, it is important to develop military industry, IT sector, which already has a big potential, aerospace industry, which was Журнал « Наукові інновації та передові технології» № 13( 27) 2023408 competitive on the market before the war, automobile industry, chemical, pharmaceutical, light industry, reprocessing in food industry, metallurgy.All these branches have high demand in the country and natural and human resources for further development.

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