TRUST IN THE AUTHORITIES IN THE CONDITIONS OF A FULL-SCALE MILITARY INVASION OF THE RF INTO UKRAINE: ALL-UKRAINIAN AND KHARKIV URBAN DIMENSIONS

Анотація

The article is devoted to determining the dynamics of trust in the authorities in the conditions of a full-scale military invasion of the Russian Federation into Ukraine. Based on the material of All-Ukrainian sociological surveys, trends in the level of trust in the President of Ukraine and approval of the direction of the state of affairs in the country during 2022-2024 were analyzed. The dynamics of trust in the Kharkiv mayor and approval of the direction of the state of affairs in the city were analyzed on the basis of municipal sociological surveys. It is argued that the rapid growth of support for the president and the general positive assessment of the direction of the state of affairs in the country after the full-scale military invasion of the Russian Federation in Ukraine in 2022 is relevantly explained within the framework of the political science concept «rally-round-the-flag». The article reveals the content of this concept, which establishes a direct cause-and-effect relationship between the emergence of an extremely high-level security threat to the state and society and a time-limited increase in trust in the government and support for its course. It was found that after the initial rapid growth of trust in the President of Ukraine and his course in 2022, a downward trend in the dynamics of public support is observed. It was noted that after two years of the full-scale military invasion of the Russian Federation in Ukraine, the majority of citizens stopped positively evaluating the direction of the state of affairs in the country – this moment was characterized as the end of the «rally-round-the-flag» in the All-Ukrainian dimension regarding the support of the government and its course. It has been proven that the «electoral beneficiary» of the «rally-round-the-flag» caused by the war can be not only the central government and the president personally, but also local government representatives (in particular, the mayor of a front-line regional center). It is emphasized that longer manifestations of the «rally-round-the-flag» effect at the level of a local community (in particular, regarding trust in local authorities and positive assessments of the situation in the city) can be explained by the continuously high intensity of the external threat to residents.

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