ЦИФРОВА ЕКОНОМІКА ЯК ФАКТОР ЕКОНОМІЧНОГО РОЗВИТКУ ДЕРЖАВИ

Анотація

Abstract. The article examines the role of the digital economy as a factor in the economic development of the state. It is established that the impact of the digital economy on the economic development of the state can be assessed based on its impact on macroeconomic indicators. To assess the impact of the digital economy as a factor in Ukraine’s economic development, regression models of the impact of the digital economy on gross domestic product, inflation and the hryvnia exchange rate against the US dollar were built. It is established that the development of IT services in Ukraine has an upward trend, the reliability of which is 96%. It is proved that the correlation between the growth dynamics of the volume of IT services provided in Ukraine and the gross domestic product is 79%. This proves the existence of a connection between the growth of gross domestic product and the development of the digital economy in Ukraine. The inverse influence of the development of the digital economy on the inflation rate in Ukraine is proved. The correlation between them is 67% and is negative, as the development of IT services helps to reduce inflation and maintain price stability. A low level of correlation between the volume of IT services in Ukraine and the dynamics of the hryvnia exchange rate against the US dollar was revealed. This is due to the fact that IT services are consumed by residents and lead to a direct inflow of foreign currency into Ukraine. Testing of the models of the impact of the digital economy represented by IT services on the indicators of Ukraine’s economic development has shown that IT services have a statistically significant impact on the inflation rate. It is established that the low impact of the digital economy on the gross domestic product in Ukraine is due to the small share of the digital economy. It is proved that with the increase of the share of digital economy its influence on the economic development of the state grows. Forecasting the trend values of economic development parameters showed that in the future the volume of IT services in Ukraine will increase, which will help maintain price stability and increase the volume of gross domestic product. Given the export of IT services, the digital economy will have a positive impact on the strengthening of the hryvnia against the US dollar. Keywords: digital economy, economic development, GDP, inflation, exchange rate. JEL Classіfіcatіon O33, O40, O44 Formulas: 4; fig.: 4; tabl.: 3; bibl.: 15.

Класифікація

Схожі роботи