Conceptual Governance Framework and Game-Theoretic Coordination for Countries’ Decarbonization Management

Анотація

 This study examines the role of game theory and cooperative governance structures in macroeconomic decarbonization governance systems across countries. A conceptual framework for Decarbonization – Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment (D-CPFR) is considered to support coordinated climate-related decision-making across countries with different assemblies as a solution to structural heterogeneity and uncertainty. The proposed method integrates three analytical levels: country clustering based on macroeconomic, energy and environmental indicators; artificial intelligence (AI)-based forecasting to identify nonlinear dependencies and structural patterns; and finally cooperative governance mechanisms that support coordinated policy interaction between countries. Thus, countries are grouped into homogeneous clusters that function as mutual governance units supporting coordinated planning, information exchange and climate strategy alignment. From a theoretical perspective, the study proposes a conceptual extension of the CPFR paradigm from supply chain coordination to global decarbonization governance. The interaction between countries is formally proposed to be interpreted as a cooperative game, where agents seek to maximize collective outcomes through coordination rather than independent optimization. This representation reflects the interdependence between policy decisions, investment flows, and technological transitions in the process of global low-carbon transformation. The main contribution of the study is the conceptual combination of clustering methods, AI-based forecasting tools and cooperative game-theoretic reasoning into a single analytical framework for decarbonization governance. The practical significance of the model is  its potential application to support international climate coordination, improve the coherence of green investment strategies, and develop adaptive low-carbon development pathways at the macroeconomic level.

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