Evaluation of Risk Value of Investors of Projects for the Creation of Crop Protection of Family Dairy Farms

Анотація

The analysis of the status and trends of the development of territorial communities in Ukraine is carried out. The expediency of the development of tools for assessing the risk of investors' value in projects for the creation of cooperatives for the provision of family dairy farms is substantiated. The model and computer program of risk assessment of investors' value of projects based on the use of probability theory, methods of mathematical statistics and modeling of work execution for determination of variable costs for feed production are developed. It has been established that there are three scenarios for the formation of the value of investors for the creation of FC projects and three zones of their risk. The initial data are grounded for assessing the risk of investors investing in projects for the creation of cooperatives for the provision of family dairy farms. The study of the characteristics of the project environment for the conditions of the "Pokrova" SOK has been performed, which is located on the territory of the Zabolotiv's community of the Brody district of the Lviv region. The statistical characteristics of distribution of expenses for production of feed, their market value and profit of investors of cooperatives forage supply of family dairy farms are substantiated. The level of risk of obtaining value from investments in the project of establishing a cooperative of forage provision of family dairy farms with a given minimum value of their profit is determined.

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