An adaptive model of inclusive socio-economic development of regions under wartime conditions

Анотація

In the current conditions of wartime challenges and profound transformations in Ukraine’s economy, ensuring inclusive socio-economic development of regions becomes particularly relevant. The war significantly alters the functioning of regional economic systems, necessitating the adaptation of existing development models to account for security factors, disrupted access to resources, and increasing interregional disparities. The purpose of this study is to substantiate an adaptive model of inclusive socio-economic development of regions of Ukraine under wartime risks. The study applies a systemic approach to analyzing transformations in inclusive regional development during the wartime period. A set of general scientific and specialized research methods was employed, including scientific generalization, systemic analysis, comparative analysis, and modeling. This made it possible to identify the specific features of regional economic systems functioning under different security conditions and to substantiate approaches to the formation of an adaptive development model. The main hypothesis of the study is that inclusive regional development under wartime conditions acquires a regionally differentiated character and requires transformation of its supporting mechanisms with a focus on stabilization, adaptation, and recovery. The study substantiates the conceptual foundations of an adaptive model of inclusive socio-economic development of regions, which considers their typology (frontline, de-occupied, support, and rear regions) and differences in the formation of economic and social benefits. Key directions for transforming mechanisms supporting inclusive development are identified, including regulatory, institutional, infrastructural, and financial-investment mechanisms. A typology of inclusive development models, depending on the region and dominant development components, is proposed. The theoretical significance of the study lies in developing scientific approaches to the formation of an inclusive model of regional development under wartime risks. The practical significance of the results lies in their potential application in the development of regional policy, economic recovery programs, and managerial decision-making aimed at ensuring resilience and inclusiveness of regional development. The scientific novelty of the study lies in substantiating an adaptive model of inclusive socio-economic development of regions that accounts for the impact of wartime factors and the differentiation of regions according to their operating conditions. Keywords: inclusive development; regional socio-economic development; regional economy; wartime risks; adaptive model; inclusive economy; regional policy; development resilience.

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