Economic and mathematical modelling of the influence of human capital development on economic growth of machine-building enterprises

Анотація

The object of the research is human capital development of machine-building enterprises based on digitalization and its influence on economic growth. One of the most problematic areas of the research is finding economic prerequisites that will positively influence human capital development at the micro level. During the research, it was proposed to use economic and mathematical modeling to determine changes in the human capital development of Ukrainian machine-building enterprises within changes in several economic indicators. An analysis was made of how the average annual salary of employees, investments per person, and capital equipment correlate with the human capital development of enterprises. Considering the analysis of sources, models of economic support were selected - based on salary adjustments according to digital competencies, ensuring capital equipment through digitalization and investments in the digital development of human capital. Analysis of scientific works also showed that human capital could increase GDP, and then it was determined that at the micro level, with the right model of human capital development, it can increase net income. The economic and regressive relationship between these indicators and the indicator of the value of human capital was revealed. The impact of economic indicators on human capital was determined. When choosing the economic support model for human capital development, the developed forecast of changes in the enterprise net income allows us to see the dynamics of economic changes in indicators. The models of economic support for human capital development were selected for each enterprise with the achievement of the maximum possible predicted positive result of net income. For instance, net profit and human capital value increased on JSC Elmiz with the model based on salary adjustment according to digital competencies. The above-mentioned stages established that increasing investments in digital human capital and capital equipment through digitalization of an enterprise is not always effective for developing human capital. Compared with similar known approaches to human capital analysis, the multi-stage approach can be used to define economic dependencies and identify shortcomings in human capital development and economic policy formation. That may lead to economic growth of machine-building enterprises.

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