MODELING OF WORLD'S SYSTEMICALLY IMPORTANT ECONOMIES IMPACT ON THE DYNAMICS OF MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS IN UKRAINE
Анотація
This paper develops the vector autoregression model of the Ukraine’s economy for exploring the dynamics of key indicators of the domestic economy in response to the shocks from systemically important economies. The foreign variables in the model are growth rates of real GDP, consumer price indices in the advanced economies and in countries of emerging and developing Asia and oil price. The results suggest that the shocks from the “large” economies are absorbed by the domestic economy for a long time. A significant part of the variability of real GDP growth index in Ukraine is due to external factors. Inflation in advanced countries has the most significant influence on this variability (among other external shocks) that confirms inflation import from these economies. At the same time the price of oil does not significantly contribute to the explanation of the mentioned variability. Given the euro area share increase in foreign trade and China’s impact on metal market conditions this paper also explores the influence of these economies’ indicators (notably production indices and consumer price indices) on Ukraine’s economy.
Класифікація
Ідентифікатори
Рецензії (0)
Написати рецензіюРецензій ще немає. Будьте першим!
Схожі роботи
How Does the Interest Rate Influence the Exchange Rate?
Схоже за: Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
The transmission of international shocks to CIS economies: A global VAR approach
Схоже за: Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
APPLICATION OF SEM AND QARDL MODELS IN THE PRACTICE OF ANALYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
Схоже за: Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Modeling Inflation Dynamics in Transition Economies: The Case of Ukraine
Схоже за: Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
How Trade Composition Affects Sensitivity to Foreign Shocks: Applying a Global VAR Model to Ukraine
Схоже за: Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Model of Monetary Policy Parameters Formation
Схоже за: Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact