FORECASTING AND TAX PLANNING METHODS: THE INFLUENCE OF THEIR CHOICE ON THE FORMATION OF DECISIONS IN THE FIELD OF TAXATION, AUDIT AND ANALYSIS

Анотація

The article systematizes the existing methods of forecasting and tax planning, investigates the impact of their choice on the formation of decisions in the field of taxation, audit and analysis. The authors emphasize that an adequate forecast or a reasonable plan regarding the expected amount of tax payments and financial indicators in general is the basis for diagnosing financial problems and evaluating the effectiveness of business management, as well as the expediency of dividing forecasting and planning methods in the field of taxation into two groups: general forecasting and planning methods; special methods of tax planning. General forecasting methods are proposed to be classified with their division into intuitive (expert) and formalized. Among the most frequently used general methods of planning, normative, economic-mathematical, calculation-analytical, balance, program-target and factor methods are distinguished. The essence of special methods of tax planning (substitution of relations, distribution of relations, direct reduction of the object of taxation, delegation of taxes to a satellite enterprise, deferral of tax payment, offshore, preferential enterprise, use of accounting policies) were studied. When forming decisions in the field of taxation, audit and analysis, it is recommended to combine general methods of forecasting and planning with special methods of tax planning, to compare alternative solutions. It is noted that the consideration of tax aspects and the optimization of tax obligations cause changes in the formation of indicators reflected in tax and financial reporting, which influence decision-making in the field of audit, the completeness and accuracy of the analysis of specific economic situations. At the stage of forming decisions regarding the use in the field of taxation, audit and analysis of certain methods of forecasting and planning, it is proposed to: identify problematic aspects, carry out their detailed analysis; formulate goals and identify alternative solutions; to compare alternative options in order to choose the most optimal of them, taking into account the conditions of a specific situation. This will make it possible to identify problematic aspects in the financial and economic activity of the business entity and develop measures to prevent them, reduce the level of the tax burden, using legal methods of tax optimization.

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