CLIMATE IMPERATIVE AS A LEGITIMIZING FRAMEWORK OF STRUCTURAL DOMINATION: GREEN REGULATORY FRAMEWORKS OF COERCIVE MODERNIZATION

Анотація

The aim of this article is to substantiate an analytical framework for the critical reading of the climate imperative as the institutional form of a contemporary wave of coercive modernization, implemented through the mechanisms of green neoprotectionism. Green neoprotectionism is interpreted as the fourth successive wave of coercive modernization following import-substituting industrialization, the Washington Consensus reforms, and the harmonization of regulatory standards within regional trade agreements; the distinctive feature of the current phase lies in the systemic fusion of trade, financial, and technological policy into a single regulatory architecture. The hypothesis is that climate regulation, in its present supranational form, centered on the European Green Deal, CBAM, the sustainable finance taxonomy, CSRD, and CSDDD, constitutes an integrated green neoprotectionist architecture whose functional coherence renders it a comprehensive instrument of coercive modernization directed at third countries. The research establishes that green neoprotectionism constitutes a systemic feature of the emerging regulatory architecture rather than a by-product of an unconsolidated climate consensus. The functional inseparability of its trade, financial and technological components generates an integrated gatekeeping regime in which regulatory costs borne by countries subject to such regulation do not accumulate linearly but reinforce one another, forming a systemic burden that cannot be effectively mitigated through internal adjustment alone. Five operational levers of this regime are identified (resource, regulatory, territorial, technological, and discursive); a three-contour model of green gatekeeping is set out, operating across market (CBAM), capital (taxonomy, CSRD, CSDDD), and technology (Net-Zero Industry Act, Critical Raw Materials Act) access contours. It is substantiated that the systemic operation of these mechanisms generates a new green division of labour: the upper segments of value chains (regulatory development, technological innovation, sustainability verification) concentrate in lead jurisdictions, while the lower segments (extraction of critical minerals, primary processing, ecosystem services) fall disproportionately on the Global South and transition economies, with technological gatekeeping blocking the industrial upgrade trajectory followed in the past by newly industrialized economies. The analysis demonstrates that the revenue distribution formula of CBAM is structurally equivalent to a classical neoprotectionist barrier, albeit under a fundamentally different normative framing; the architecture of green fintech serves as the infrastructural foundation of gatekeeping, generating technological asymmetry between standard-setting jurisdictions and countries subject to ESG screening.

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