MODELING OF EFFECTIVE STRATEGIES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINE'S INVESTMENT POTENTIAL IN CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY

Анотація

With the help of economic and mathematical modeling, a methodological approach was developed and forecasting the development of investment potential, processing possible scenarios and choosing the optimal strategy for managing the average wage using concepts and research developed by scientists, including foreign ones. In addition, the prerequisites that take into account social categories for the practical implementation of the model by the welfare state are considered, the disadvantages and advantages of foreign direct investment in Ukraine are analyzed. The dependence of the development of both foreign direct investment and GDP on the political situation in the country was established. The forecast of capital investment development for 2021, 2022 and 2023 was also made and the optimal scenario and optimal strategy for further economic growth of the country and reduction of dependence on investments were chosen. The purpose of the article is to assess the current state of Ukraine's investment potential and build economic and mathematical models for forecasting and developing strategies for its development, as well as to determine the impact of investment potential on such socially significant categories as average wages and poverty. The research methods are the fundamental provisions of economic theory, investment theory, economic and mathematical modeling. The following tasks were set and solved within the framework of the work: the approach to the assessment of investment potential relevant to the economic system of Ukraine was chosen; the optimal system of indicators for assessing the investment potential of Ukraine was chosen; with the help of economic-mathematical modeling forecasting of development of investment potential of Ukraine in time is made and influence of dynamics of investment potential on the level of income of households is investigated; an analysis was made on the adequacy of the methodological approach used and the economic and mathematical models built in relation to the feasibility of further use for economic systems similar to the Ukrainian one.

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